Miguel del Fresno



Reputación Online, Netnografía, Consultoría de Marketing y Comunicación Online
Blog de Miguel del Fresno

MIGUEL DEL FRESNO

delfresno@gmail.com


Consultor Senior en Marketing & Comunicación Online; Investigador de Reputación Online; Investigador de Macro Tendencias Sociales.

Doctor en Sociología (UNED), DEA y Master en Sociedad de la Información y el Conocimiento (UOC), Executive Master en e-Business (IE Business School), MBA (IE Business School), Licenciado en Filosofía (UCM)

En la actualidad es Profesor en la UNED. También ha sido profesor de Marketing en la UCJC y de User Experience y Marketing en el IED

Ha sido Director de Marketing y Comunicación y Director de Unidad de negocio en Elsevier España; Director de Marketing y Comunicación de la cadena de librerías Casa del Libro; Director de Marketing y miembro del equipo fundador de casadelibro.com; Director Comercial de Ediciones Siruela

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El éxito de Spotify no puede esconder la evidente evolución del modelo publicitario: pagar por no tener publicidad; ¿Qué dirán agencias y anunciantes?

30/12/09

... Feliz Año

10 Online Marketing Trends for 2010

29/12/09

bocalogic: 10 Online Marketing Trends for 2010

10 Online Marketing Trends for 2010

Where to invest, what to test and which deserve a rest
Print

Technology Review: Making Money with Social Media
Making Money with Social Media

Do blogs and tweets help a company's bottom line? An Austin-based startup thinks it has the answer.

By Erika Jonietz
In retrospect, 2009 may be viewed as the year "social media" came of age: Facebook passed 350 million active users, Oprah made Twitter mainstream, and LinkedIn introduced a service to help recruiting agencies search the site for job candidates. But using microblogs, photoblogs, user-generated content, and even traditional blogs to interact with customers takes time and money, and some companies still question whether all that effort is doing them any good. So how does a company not only measure the results of its social media efforts but also effectively manage them?
Social costs: The Spredfast dashboard lets users track the reach and efficacy of integrated social media campaigns, including blog posts, Facebook updates, tweets, and Flickr streams.
Credit: Social Agency

Early in December, Social Agency, a five-person startup based in Austin, TX, launched a Web-based software package called Spredfast that helps companies manage their social media campaigns. The software not only measures audience size and engagement but also allows coordinated planning and automated posting across multiple social media platforms.

Specifically, the Web-based software counts how many people view a company's Twitter, LinkedIn, Facebook, YouTube, and Flickr updates, as well as posts managed by several popular blogging platforms, such as Moveable Type, WordPress, Blogger, Lotus Live, and Drupal. It also measures how the audience is interacting with all this content--for instance, how much they are commenting on posts, clicking on links, or retweeting updates.

The goal, says Social Agency cofounder Scott McCaskill, is to let companies see "whether all the time put into doing those things is really helping build brand or product awareness, which kinds of content are most successful, what days and even times of day result in the most traffic or new followers/friends."

A free version allows a company to manage a single identity or "voice" across each platform. Paid versions let companies coordinate multiple users and voices, and provide a longer data history. McCaskill says the software has had the most success with units of large companies and marketing agencies.


Lo que no cambiará en 2010

28/12/09

Andamos en QUOR 2.0 con una investigación de largo recorrido que nos encanta: Investigación de Macrotendencias Sociales.

Se trata de
indagar en el presente para determinar qué escenarios son viables social, tecnológica y en otros ámbitos para una vez identificadas esas Macrotendencias -ya he comentado en alguna ocasión que no tiene nada que ver en nuestra forma de afrontarlo con el coolhunting, debido a que el plazo de éste es mucho más corto- mediante una metodología adecuada poner sobre la mesa oportunidades de mejora o creación de nuevos productos y servicios para las empresas que nos contratan e, incluso, nuevas oportunidades de negocio.

Se trata de
identificar lo que estando en estado embrionario hoy puede modificar sustancialmente las prácticas sociales en un futuro a 10 o 15 años, depende del plazo que el necesite explorar prospectivamente.

Mientras escribía algunas reflexiones he recordado una pequeña parte de la investigación doctoral que he recuperado para esta investigación de
Macrotendencias en relación con el pensamiento de Alexis de Tocqueville (1805-1859).

La sociedad y los seres humanos estamos sometidos a una importante y creciente aceleración de nuestra actividad en sociedad, no obstante debe haber
variables que no es de esperar que muten de forma significativa:

1. Las principales instituciones sociales seguirán existiendo (ni la familia, ni el estado, ni la religión, etc. desaparecerán).


2. La naturaleza humana no cambiará sustancialmente (no es de esperar un incremento de la bondad o maldad general entre los hombres y mujeres a como se ha venido desarrollando hasta hoy y como ha venido sucediendo a lo largo de la historia).


3. Irá incrementándose el proceso de igualdad entre géneros, edades, sociedades, países...


4. Los acontecimientos del pasado y del presente junto con las contingencias futuras serán las que crearán y darán forma al futuro.


5. El cambio social será canalizado y circunscrito por los recursos materiales, intelectuales y económicos.


No todo iba ser velocidad...
un buen número de predicciones variadas (vía Darren Herman)

Feliz Navidad

24/12/09

Facebook Memology: Top Status Trends of 2009 | Facebook

22/12/09

Facebook Memology: Top Status Trends of 2009 | Facebook
Facebook Memology: Top Status Trends of 2009
Status updates on Facebook help people understand their friends and the people around them--how they're feeling, what they're doing and what they're thinking. In the United States alone, people on Facebook are sharing hundreds of millions of words every day, thousands per second, in status updates. When taken as a whole, these words offer a unique barometer into the issues, world events and thoughts that are connecting people.

In the tradition of year-end lists, we're introducing Facebook Memology. "Memology" refers to the study of how "memes," or new ideas and trends, are spreading on Facebook. For this year's list, the Facebook Data Team mapped the top trending words and phrases in U.S. status updates for 2009.

While significant news events and celebrities made the list, more personal topics like family, religion and even emerging digital slang were as common—no doubt reflecting the way people share their daily lives with friends on Facebook.

To generate the list, we started by looking at how many times each phrase with length from one-to-four words occurred in U.S. Facebook status updates, then we computed the rate at which each phrase occurred in 2009 compared to 2008. Using some data-mining methods detailed here, we analyzed important bursts in activity around words and series of words to find the key trends for the year. All personally identifiable information was removed from the status updates to conduct this analysis, and no one at Facebook read the individual status updates.

Because quite a few words and phrases were related to each other and correlated contextually, we grouped some of them together to form the final list that follows.



1 - Facebook Applications


Specific words: Farmville, Farm Town, Social Living

Facebook has provided a platform for developers to create a number of hugely popular applications, and it is no surprise that people are talking about them. You could almost say that 2009 was the year of the farm in status updates. Since its emergence in June 2009, Farmville became the most talked-about application in status updates and now boasts over 72 million monthly active users. It wasn't alone. Farm Town also ranked highly, as did general discussions with the word "farm."



2 - FML


Specific word: FML

This digital slang became the hottest acronym to enter the Facebook lexicon in 2009. It spread from relatively low usage to become a mainstream word in status updates. FML is used almost exclusively online and in text messages, and its meaning, once very specific, has broadened. People now use it simply to express some frustration with an aspect of their lives. We'll leave the "F" open to your interpretation, but the "M" and L" stand for "My Life."

The beginning of May appeared to be a seriously frustrating time for people, when students were busy with finals and the weather was rainy just before summer. We saw a lull in "FML" in the summer months and, as expected, there was strong weekly periodicity to this term with it appearing most often on Mondays and Tuesdays.



3 - Swine Flu


Specific words: Flu, Swine Flu, H1N1

Swine flu, or H1N1, was probably the biggest ongoing news story of the year. Discussion of H1N1 in status updates reached a peak in the spring—slong before the flu itself began affecting many people. When flu season began in the fall, people began discussing the term again, though never with the same frequency as when it first appeared. Another interesting trend is that no one called the virus H1N1 when it first appeared, but by September the effort to disassociate the term "swine" from the illness was fairly successful and "H1N1" occurrences now roughly equal "swine." Surprisingly, the use of the word "flu" over the year consistently peaked during the middle of the week and was at its lowest on Sundays. We're not sure why.


4 - Celebrity Deaths


Specific words: Michael Jackson, Patrick Swayze, Billy Mays

No celebrity death had as immediate of an impact on status updates as Michael Jackson's. Mentions of his name were 10,000 times higher on June 25, the day he died, than the previous day, and no other unexpected news event can compare to the burst we saw on that day. Despite the huge impact of this story, mentions of his name lasted only about a week, with a resurgence during his memorial 12 days later. Rather surprisingly, Patrick Swayze's death was almost as large with about two-thirds as many mentions as Michael Jackson's on the peak day of status updates about Swayze.


5 - Family


Specific words: Family, Mom, Dad, Son, Daughter, Kids

As Facebook becomes more prevalent across demographics, people talk more about "mom," "dad," "son" and "daughter". We saw significant increases in all sorts of family-related words during 2009. Perhaps the most dramatic increase was "kids," a word whose occurrence went up by a factor of five.



6 - Movies


Specific words: New Moon, Transformers, Star Trek, The Hangover, Paranormal Activity and Harry Potter

Whenever a new movie comes out, it creates a big spike in discussion in Facebook status updates. The most-discussed of 2009 was "New Moon." It narrowly edged out the big summer movies "Harry Potter" and "Transformers." Other big movies on Facebook were "Star Trek," "The Hangover" and "Paranormal Activity".


7 - Sports


Specific words: Steelers, Yankees

In February of 2009, the Pittsburgh Steelers won the Super Bowl, and in October the New York Yankees won the World Series. The Steelers reached a higher peak in mentions, but largely because they only played a single football game to garner the top prize. The Yankees were discussed a bit less per day, but the discussion occurred over a longer period of time throughout the multiple games of baseball's World Series. We'll call this one a tie to avoid playing favorites or sparking sports-supremacy debates.


8 - Health Care


Specific words: Health Care, No one should have to…

Since President Barack Obama took office, the discussion of "health care" has risen steadily in status updates. This reached a peak in early September when millions of pro-reform users updated their status with the following message: "No one should die because they cannot afford health care, and no one should go broke because they get sick. If you agree, please post this as your status for the rest of the day." For two days, millions of people posted this to their profiles in support of health care reform. The meme continued to circulate, gradually declining over the weeks that followed. Even aside from that meme, health care mentions are up 10 times since a year ago.



9 - FB


Specific words: FB, FB Friends, News Feed

Whenever we make a change to the site a lot of people chime in with their opinions. For instance, we see spikes in mentions of "News Feed" on the order of 100-times increases whenever there is a change to the way that feature works or how the home page is laid out. "FB" and "FB Friends," on the other hand, have nothing to do with product changes, but as Facebook has become more prevalent people are shortening our name for convenience. Usage of the word "FB" has increased about 7 fold since the beginning of 2009 and "FB Friends" increased about 10 times over the same period.


10 - Twitter


Specific words: Twitter, RT

Talk about Twitter took off at the beginning of the year. April showed a peak of activity and momentum, though mentions of the word "Twitter" decreased over the past few months. The acronym "RT," standing for "retweet," entered the lexicon along with the word "Twitter" in September of 2008 and has become a common acronym to describe reposting activity.


11 - Years


Specific words: 2008, 2009, 2010

Many status updates are about what people are going to do or have just done, so naturally they often contain dates. While the number of posts containing a date didn't go up dramatically in 2009, the date itself changed to reflect the current and upcoming year.


12 - Lady Gaga


Specific words: Gaga, Poker Face

Lady Gaga was the biggest new performer of 2009 based on status updates from people in the U.S. She was virtually unmentioned until November of 2008 and spiked in mentions of her name in September of 2009 during the MTV Video Music Awards. At the end of September, Christopher Walken's performance of the song "Poker Face" caused a spike in that term, but didn't noticeably impact occurrences of "Lady Gaga."


13 - Yard


Specific word: Yard

This is a trend that nobody would have guessed. The word "yard" seems fairly uncommon, and indeed it barely breaches a rate of five mentions in every 10,000 status updates. When we compare 2009 to 2008, however, we see a huge increase. Have all the hipsters turned to yard work as the latest fad? Probably not. A more likely explanation is that hipsters' moms and dads are also on Facebook, and these folks have yards that require some tending.



14 - Religion


Specific words: Easter, Lord, God

Religious terms increased a significant amount in the last year. In the last 6 months, there was a noticeable upward trend in occurrences of "Lord" and "God." While "Easter" occurs infrequently most of the time, the Easter Sunday spike from 2009 is about 30 percent higher than it was in 2008.


15 - I


Specific words: I, is

Until March of 2009, people updated their status in a box that appeared next to their name on the home page and, consequently, many updates started with the word "is." Once that box no longer was shown next to people's name, the usage of "is" dropped off dramatically and usage of "I" doubled almost overnight. Prior to March of 2009, "is" represented about 9 percent of all words in status updates. With the change in interface, it remained high in absolute terms, but dropped all the way to about 1.5 percent recently while "I" increased from 1 percent to about 2.5 percent.


Talking Back – Top Five Advertising Trends

Talking Back – Top Five Advertising Trends

December 17, 2009

converge

The overall advertising environment in 2009 was fairly gloomy with slashed budgets and revised strategies to address the new reality. However, that didn’t stop the industry from evolving, and the lessons learned will likely pay-off in the year ahead. For example, advertisers started to look at the need for accountability metrics beyond the simple “click-through” and on to campaign-specific performance. They also started to embrace burgeoning social networks and consumer generated media to bring consumers closer to a product or brand.

Top Advertising Trends for 2010

  1. Optimizing media convergence is a top priority. A better understanding of media convergence will manifest in order to deliver a better return on investment. The ability to accurately measure activity and link online ads to offline purchasing behavior will be critical.
  2. New models emerge to take advantage of smartphones. Accurate mobile measurement will be required to stay head of the snowballing growth of that media platform.
  3. More cross-media ad campaigns surface. The massive growth of online video games played and shared online leads the way for more successful interactive and cross-media advertising campaigns to appear. Growth in the adoption of this innovative advertising across screens and activities will increase.
  4. Commercialization of social networking hubs increase. Social media will provide a new sales channel for establishing product awareness and commercializing brands to better support traditional advertising or text-based ads.
  5. More interesting and interactive online ads appear. Increased use of more creative advertising and content models online such as video, attention-seeking page takeover ads and mechanisms for greater interactivity will drive the next era of Web development.

2010 U.S. Outlook



Powerpoint, poverpuá, poverpuajcs!

21/12/09

arati: Powerpoint, poverpuá, poverpuajcs!
Powerpoint, poverpuá, poverpuajcs!


Me llegan PowerPoints, a veces se me atora la conexión inalámbrica hasta que escupe todo lo que le han metido y me deja la bandeja de entrada llena de poverpuás, poverohmmms o poverpuajcs. Como a cualquiera.

El powerpoint es una de las plagas de nuestros días. Tanto en la vida profesional, como en la académica como en la privada... Por favor, que alguien invente un antivirus con antipowerpoints horteras incluído. Lo compraré, selosjuro.

citarapida

(He preparado esta presentación sobre mí mismo en un powerpoint que apenas dura cinco minutos...)


En cuanto veo un puntopps prendido del clip de los documentos anexos se me ponen los vellos de punta... ay, Dios, ¿que va a ser esto?.

Es cierto, algunos son relamente graciosos, pero la mayoría son insufribles.

Unos apuntes para taxonomía de engendros (se admiten sugerencias):

poverpetitpoint: presentación horterilla con corazones y ramos de flores resplandecientes, bebés, osos amorosos y abrazadores que te desean un buen día y te recuerdan que tienes un amigo, dos amigos, un montón de amigos. Que aunque seas un borde y no tengas ni un maldito amigo siempre serás alguien muy especial para esa persona a quien no conoces y que te ha enviado el dichoso poverpetitpoint.

poveroooommmms: Son... profundos y en cuatro minutos te ponen a pensar, desean instruirte en la bondad del ser humano, en lo grande que es el universo, en lo mucho que Dios te ama. Son los que contienen poesías de autoría dudosa o provervios que inducen a la reflexion profunda o espeleofilosofía. También pueden incluirse las presentaciones sobre la belleza del paisaje con fotos espectaculares y música de Vangelis o arias de ópera. En cuanto acabas con la última diapositiva ¡albrícias! ya no eres el de antes: te has transformado en un ser humano distinto, más sensible y mejor.

poverpuajcs: dígase de las presentaciones asquerosas tipo: el hombre más feo del mundo, la abuela de Barbie, flaca y requemada por el sol se pasea en tanga por la playa o grandes hits de los bebedores de cerveza. Incluyo también aquí todos los powerpoints sexistas, racistas y otros istas en general y algunos guarros muy guarros.

poverbuaaahh: montaje destinado a dar pena, véase contaminación del planeta, desastres globales o desgracias personales. Tiene por misión "concienciar", si tienes conciencia debes pasarlo. Con eso ya habrás cumplido con las mujeres secuestradas en latinoamérica, con los delfines masacrados, con los perros abandonados, etc... y podrás dejar a tu conciencia descansar en paz.

poverjajaja: los que hacen o pretenen hacer reír.

didactopoint: el palo que te meten en cualquier cursillo o reunión, con la misma plasta incomible de siempre pero con diapositivas. Los malos pedagogos y los malos conferenciantes se esconden detrás de su powerpoint y tan contentos, anchos y multimediados que se quedan, aunque siguen siendo igual de malos que antes del invento. Una plaga en el mundo docente y laboral.

powermaldición: Los detesto en especial. Son esos que prometen el cumplimento de todos tus deseos (entre hadas, brujitas y duendes fosforescentes) si los reenvías inmediatamente a toda tu agenda... pero te maldicen con arruinar tu vida, la de tus hijos y hasta la de tus nietos si prefieres no maltratar a los amigos con semejantes chantajes emocionales. Aunque viviera más años que Matusalén ya estoy condenada a que sean todos infaustos y terriblemente desgraciados, tengo un montón de mala suerte acumulada de los "sienes y sienes" de powermaldiciones que no he reenviado.
(Y es que a pesar de todos mis reparos soy curiosa, mecachis, y acabo por leerlos tarde o temprano).

poverpuás: puede embutirse aquí cualquier otro engendro que no quepa en las anteriores categorías.

PowerPointTorture

(Necesito a alguien experto en el arte de la tortura - conoce usted PowerPoint?)

Me pregunto a menudo quien se dedica a preparar esos powerpoints variados que circulan eternamente por el correo, te llegan, los mandas a la papelera una y otra vez, pero vuelven a aparecer al cabo de unos meses o unos años, son auténticos best-sellers. Entre mis allegados no me consta que haya nadie que padezca semejante enfermedad, aunque sí hay quien tiene propensión al reenvío indiscriminado y masivo... aunque, claro, a esos pocos se lo aguanto todo porque los quiero. Pero los powerpoints le caen a una desde los lugares más inesperados, nunca se sabe por donde llegarán los bárbaros. Últimamente estoy aplicando a rajatabla el paso a "correo no deseado" de cualquier dirección que insista en enviarme powermaldiciones después de un primer aviso de gracia. Y.. Uf! vivo mejor.
Y luego están los que se inventan cosas, ya no hablo de los despreciables poverbuahhhh que hablan de niños con leucemia que necesitan medicinas imposibles, sino de los que propagan falsedades aparentemente inocuas. Además de los paridores de poverpuás existen unos especímenes aún más repulsivos, los que se dedican a "retocar y embellecer el poverpuá", en plan... voy a mejorar un poco esta prosa de Borges...

He visto varias veces repetidos y en distintas versiones powerpoints "poéticos" (poverooommms) con imágenes de paisajes y amaneceres/atardeceres y música de Il Divo o similar, con supuestos poemas de Borges; parecen gustar mucho, porque tienen una movilidad envidiable, en especial el de "si pudiera vivir nuevamente mi vida" y el de "uno aprende". Son incluso bonitos y dan pie a la relexión... pero No son de Borges.

Tampoco es de García Márquez la supuesta carta de despedida de a sus amigos; a saber quien, en que momento, en que noche solitaria, se lo inventó, se lo atribuyó y lo echó a correr por el ciberespacio.

Pero no quiero ponerme negativa, vaaa. Les dejo con un extracto de El nuevo diario de julio de 2000, en el que hablan con benevolencia de esa sorprendente popularidad de los "pseudoBorges y pseudoGabos":


"Pero se trata de una especie de homenaje anónimo que se rinde a los dos prosistas más importantes de la lengua castellana del fin del siglo XX, por parte de un vasto público que si se muestra desinformado de la calidad artística de sus obras, reconoce la majestad de su fama y es capaz de endilgarles escritos muy sencillos, muy sentimentales, y muy potables, con lo que establece con ellos un vínculo para nada despreciable, compuesto de admiración y afecto, aunque se trate de un vínculo escasamente literario, y que con exceso de rigor podríamos llamar espúreo."

powerpointaddict


Y para finalizar aquí les dejo un enlace a un estupendo Powerpoint que siempre tengo a mano y que reenvío con frecuencia (jeje), véanlo, bájenselo, distribúyanlo.
Desconozco el/la autor/a, una lástima, desde aquí le doy las gracias por el rato que le dedicó con la sana intención de instruir al prójimo. Que rule, a ver si conseguimos que circule menos basura por internet...





USER EXPERIENCE #UX: the experience of reading magazines on handheld digital devices

Mag+ from Bonnier on Vimeo.



This conceptual video is a corporate collaborative research project
initiated by Bonnier R&D into the experience of reading magazines on
handheld digital devices. It illustrates one possible vision for
digital magazines in the near future, presented by our design partners
at BERG.

The concept aims to capture the essence of magazine reading, which
people have been enjoying for decades: an engaging and unique reading
experience in which high-quality writing and stunning imagery build up
immersive stories.

The concept uses the power of digital media to create a rich and
meaningful experience, while maintaining the relaxed and curated
features of printed magazines. It has been designed for a world in
which interactivity, abundant information and unlimited options could
be perceived as intrusive and overwhelming.

The purpose of publishing this concept video is first and foremost to
spark a discussion around the digital reading experience in general,
and digital reading platforms in particular. Thus, we would be more
than happy to hear what you have to say regarding the concept and
ideas expressed in the video: the magazine reading experience, digital
browsing, text versus images, as well as hear about your own digital
reading experiences and thoughts. We are all ears.

Follow the discussion in the Bonnier R&D Beta Lab:
bonnier.com/en/content/digital-magazines-bonnier-mag-prototype

¿Será cierto que existe una racionalidad en el suicidio colectivo? #climateshame #Copenhagen #notdoneyet #4future

19/12/09


¿Será cierto que existe una racionalidad en el suicidio colectivo? #notdoneyet #4future #climateshame #Copenhagen

So-called 'Copenhagen Accord' - Fair? No. Ambitious? No. Binding? No. http://bit.ly/6lBUFW #notdoneyet #4future #climateshame

RT @Greenpeace: Latest blog: Copenhagen is over, but we're not done yet: We demanded... http://tinyurl.com/ydl7m5d

#Copenhagen failed, but it's not the end, it's the beginning of a movement. Join us #4future http://bit.ly/4future

This is not over #climateshame

Quizás todos tengamos que pedir disculpas http://bit.ly/im_sorry #climateshame #Copenhagen

RT @stripthis: This is not over, people everywhere demanded a real deal and they are still demanding it. #climateshame

He echado de menos twitts y post sobre #Copenhagen, quizás todos tengamos que pedir disculpas http://bit.ly/im_sorry

Resumen sintético y claro: NO HUBO ACUERDO en el "Copenhagen accord". Se limitaron a "tomar nota" http://bit.ly/4future

El clima #Copenhange y la demografia son riesgos globales, el tema demográfico tampoco interesa en programas políticos de 4 años

El video del fin de semana: Israel Kamakawiwo'Ole 'IZ' 'Somewhere Over The Rainbow'

Sinceramente impresionado por Israel Kamakawiwo y su versión de Somewhere Over The Rainbow, para mi amiga @arati


¿Qué es una Marca? De Meme en Meme y me toca

18/12/09

Siguiendo con el meme lanzado por Jaime Valverde y Borja Muñoz (de Marketing TakeAway), provocado por una pequeña piedra tirada por Daniel Ponte en Clicmetrics , recogida por Tristán Elósegui, Dani Seuba, Mau Santambrosio, Luis Pablos y unos cuantos más (y los que vendrán) y que me pasa Marco Cimino a @evasnijders, @mertxe y @yo_Antitwitter , os dejo mi intepretación de “marca”:



En mi opinión una marca es como MINIMO:



Exclusividad, Permanencia, Perdurabilidad, Valor variable, Tiempo, Reconocimiento, Familiaridad, Distancia, Cercanía, Economía comunicativa, Regiones emocionales, Ha dejado marca, Estigma, Diferenciación, Autonomía, Límites, Notar, Anotar, Poner precio, Señalar, Marcar personas, Bordar, Fraude, Expectativa, Decepción, Deseo, Carácter, Huella, Prescripción, Dividir, Delimitar, Señalar, Voluntad, Presionar…





Y para Google





Más enlaces del meme:

Edward de Bono

16/12/09

LA PERCEPCIÓN CREADORA FRENTE A SISTEMA TRADICIONAL ARGUMENTATIVO GRIEGO, ESTÁTICO Y ACTUALMENTE REFRENADOR DE LA EVOLUCIÓN

Hoy me “ape” hablar de algo que aprendí de Edward de Bono: la importancia de la percepción a la hora de conocer lo que entendemos por “realidad” y por tanto de relacionarnos desde la realidad percibida con nuestros congeneres.En un libro tan maravilloso como terriblemente mal traducido, titulado “Yo tengo razón, tú estás equivocado” (Ediciones B en España), El Sr. De Bono, explica como hemos llegado a nuestra actual forma de percepción de la realidad, como esta percepción, nos está perjudicando en tanto configura unas sociedades y unas relaciones entre sociedades que potencian los conflictos en vez de colaborar en resolverlos, por ejemplo (de ahí el titulo del libro)

“Nuestros hábitos de pensamiento nacen de los grandes pensadores de la filosofía griega, especialmente de Socrates. Este mejoro significativamente el PENSAMIENTO ARGUMENTATIVO griego. Los pensadores del último RENACIMIENTO, resucitó y mejoró aún más, los métodos propuestos por Socrates.

PENSAMIENTO ARGUMENTATIVO

Se funda en un un sistema de pensamiento por oposición. Es decir, al menos hay dos partes, “que se oponen”. Según De Bono se basa en que “cada parte no puede tener razón y estar equivocado al mismo tiempo”. Este sistema se puede observar en nuestras CATEGORIAS LINGUISTICAS predominantemente EXCLUSIVAS (Ejemplo: bueno/malo, amigo/enemigo, verdad/mentira, etc.). De Bono, apunta que hay culturas que “no ven contradicción en una persona que es amiga y enemiga al tiempo”.

El sistema de pensamiento se funda en la VERDAD, la cuál tiene que ser descubierta por la lógica y el ARGUMENTO. Las partes que se oponen muestras sus ARGUMENTOS desde opticas forzosamente OPUESTAS. En la medida que la base de todo este sístema de opuestos es que “a verdad se opone forzosamente mentira”, es decir, que solo puede existir una verdad única y prístina, y que todo lo que se oponga a ello será “mentira. Resultado de ello es una “fuerte tendencía al negativismo y al ataque, siendo el negativismo una manera poderosa de descubrir la verdad, al resistir intrusiones perturbadoras y producir en el que lo aplica, un fuerte sentimiento personal de poseedor de la verdad, que le produce una lógica satisfacción personal, y que contribuye a mantenerle en la lucha dialectica.

Dice de Bono que una gran proporción de políticos (los que dirigen gran parte de nuestras vidas), son abogados y funcionan con esta forma de pensar ( el sistema de opuestos), con el que abordan nuestra realidad social.

Comenta que hay que tener en cuenta la íntima relación histórica entre democracia y argumento (con su sistema de opuestos, con conceptos como por ejemplo “mi partido dice la verdad, por tanto el tuyo está equivocado”) procede de nuestro legado griego, pareciendo que forma parte, de manera “natural e intrínseca” del funcionamiento de las democracias, y siendo además la causa de nuestro estilo de enfrentamiento en la política.

De Bono llama a esta lógica “lógica petrea”, basada en categorías de opuestos, identidades y contradicciones permanentes, un pensamiento estático, que no CREA ideas nuevas, que se funda más en el propio lenguaje que en la forma de funcionamiento de nuestro cerebro. Como resultado de ello tienen a favorecer los puntos flacos del sistema (polarizaciones exageradas) y descuidar los fuertes (creatividad y cambios de percepción).
La contrapone a otro tipo de lógica, que considera puede ser la solución de esta forma erronéa de enfocar el mundo, y que llama “lógica del agua”, basada en la lógica de la percepción y que permite un pensamiento CREADOR. El problema surge cuando creemos que todas las ideas valiosas, vistas retrospectivamente, nos parecen “lógicas”, y creemos “lógico” que hayan sido creadas, por el pensamiento lógico existente en aquel momento. Por ello no creemos necesario otra forma de pensamiento realmente creativo, pues “lo que tenemos ya ha creado las ideas que ya han nacido”. Según el autor, nuestra incomprensión de cómo funciona nuestro cerebro, puede limitar gravemente las posibilidades de nuestro pensamiento creador cuando necesitamos solucionar problemas para los que los sistemas tradicionales analítico, no encuentran solución.

Según él, la mente puede ver solo lo que está preparada para ver, analiza los datos de los que dispone, pero no puede producir nuevas ideas por sí solo, sin provocación y SIN EL USO DE LA PERCEPCIÓN, rechazada durante siglos a favor del analísis y la lógica, renunciando así a una potencialidad inexplorada en la evolución humana : LA CREATIVIDAD.. Y esto es un problema porque toda la base de la ciencia y el progreso se funda en la creencia de que el analisis de datos producirá todas las ideas que necesitamos para avanzar.

El libro propone multiples soluciones a como utilizar la percepción para dar este salto evolutivo. Si los que lo leemos en español, obviamos la mala traducción, jaja, creo que podemos extraer información importante para nuestras vidas (creo que tendré que pedir comisión al Sr. De Bono, por tal propaganda gratuita, jajaJ

LAS DISTORSIONES COGNITIVAS. COMO LA PERCEPCIÓN MAL UTILIZADA NOS PUEDE PERJUDICAR (O como manejarnos mejor con la percepción)

Estas distorsiones de pensamiento o trampas son aprendidas de nuestro sistema cultural y familiar y nos dificultan la percepción de la realidad:

* Hipergeneralización: A partir de un hecho aislado se crea una regla universal, general, para cualquier situación y momento: He fracasado una vez (en algo concreto); !Siempre fracasaré! (se interioriza como que fracasaré en todo).

* Designación global: Se utilizan términos peyorativos para describirse a uno mismo, en vez de describir el error concretando el momento temporal en que sucedió: !Que torpe (soy)!.

* Filtrado: Se presta atención selectiva a lo negativo y se desatiende lo positivo.

* Pensamiento polarizado: Pensamiento de todo o nada. Se llevan las cosas a sus extremos. Se tienen categorías absolutas. Es blanco o negro. Estás conmigo o contra mí. Lo hago bien o mal. No se aceptan ni se saben dar valoraciones relativas. O es perfecto o no vale.

* Autoacusación: Uno se encuentra culpable de todo. Tengo yo la culpa, !Tendría que haberme dado cuenta!.

* Personalización: Suponemos que todo tiene que ver con nosotros y nos comparamos negativamente con todos los demás. !Tiene mala cara, qué le habré hecho!.

* Lectura del pensamiento: supones que no le interesas a los demás, que no les gustas, crees que piensan mal de ti…sin evidencia real de ello. Son suposiciones que se fundamentan en cosas peregrinas y no comprobables.

* Falacias de control: Sientes que tienes una responsabilidad total con todo y con todos, o bien sientes que no tienes control sobre nada, que se es una víctima desamparada.

* Razonamiento emocional: Si lo siento así es verdad. Nos sentimos solos , sin amigos y creemos que este sentimiento refleja la realidad sin parar a contrastarlo con otros momentos y experiencias.

Fuentes:

Libro ” Yo tengo razón, tu estás equivocado, La percepción es la base para comprender la naturaleza del pensamiento”. Edward de Bono. Ediciones B.


User Experience Design

Me ha parecido lo suficientemente interesante este post hoy domingo como para republicar el estudio realizado por HubSpot.

If you blog, you know that it's good for your business. But how -- and how much?

To answer to those questions, I looked at data from 1,531 HubSpot customers (mostly small- and medium-sized businesses). 795 of the businesses in my sample blogged, 736 didn't.

The data was clear: Companies that blog have far better marketing results. Specifically, the average company that blogs has:

Take a look for yourself in the graphs below:

blog website visitors

 Why are website visitors important? Because more visitors mean more people to convert to leads and sales.

inbound links blog

Why are inbound links important? Because they signal authority to search engines, thus increasing your chances of getting found in those search engines.

indexed pages blog
 

Why are indexed pages important? The more pages you have on your site, the more chances you have of getting found in search engines.



The Ten Brands That Will Disappear In 2010

The Ten Brands That Will Disappear In 2010 – 24/7 Wall St.
The Ten Brands That Will Disappear In 2010

Posted: December 2, 2009 at 12:00 pm
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24/7 Wall St. has prepared its list of the ten brands that will disappear in 2010. This list is based on a review of each firm’s financial situation and other operating data, the current and ongoing value of its brand, and whether the company that controls that brand can sell its assets.

This year a number of famous brands have closed or their parents have announced that they will be shut down shortly. This includes decades-old magazines like Gourmet and famous car brands like Pontiac. The recession took whatever economic value these brands had left and destroyed it.

The brands on the 24/7 list for 2010 include companies that have been in trouble for years. Some have been in slow decline and others were irreparably damaged by the credit crisis. Most of these companies will be bought and the rest will simply be closed.

Newsweek. The magazine already has slashed its rate base (circulation guaranteed to advertisers) from 3.1 million to 2.5 million. It has announced further cuts that will take this figure to 1.5 million early next year. The New York Times reported that Newsweek’s advertising fell 29.9% through the first three quarters of 2009. According to the 10-Q for The Washington Post Company (NYSE:WPO), Newsweek ad revenue plunged 47% in the third quarter from the year before. The magazine has lost almost $30 million so far this year. Newsweek had hoped to transform itself into a poor man’s version of the Economist and has largely dropped covering breaking news and reviews of the big stories of the week. The change in the editorial direction of Newsweek may have been the right thing to do, but it came much too late. Newsweek, like many other print products, hopes to rely on internet readership and advertising to improve its fortunes. Audience measurement firm Compete indicates that the audience of Newsweek.com has dropped 15% in the last year to 1.3 million unique visitors a month in October. Audience research firm comScore shows an even sharper decline. That is, by itself, an important indication that the public has not been attracted to the “new” Newsweek. The Washington Post has enough trouble with fixing problems at its flagship paper. Its online news and commentary magazine, Slate.com, had more than 3.8 million visitors in October. Slate has none of the legacy print costs of Newsweek.

Motorola. The handset and telecom infrastructure company may finally have a future three years after falling from the No.2 spot in global cell phone share to obscurity. The time has come for the company to break itself into pieces and allow buyers to scuttle a brand with a bad reputation. The firm has said it will seek a buyer for its cable and wireless equipment companies for a $4.5 billion price tag. Motorola has a market cap of $19 billion. Motorola has long-term debt of $3.9 billion and cash of about $3 billion. Motorola has three divisions. The one that created most of the company’s value until recently is its mobile devices operation. The revenue from that division fell by almost half in the last quarter from $3.1 billion to $1.7 billion. But the future for the division is brighter, primarily due to its new Droid phone which has sold remarkably well and is being heavily promoted by Verizon Wireless. Industry experts expect that one million of the handsets have been sold in the last month. The value of the Droid is not the Motorola brand but the brand of the Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) Android operating system that runs it. A more successful Motorola handset company would be attractive to Samsung or LG. The most likely buyer is Nokia (NYSE:NOK), which has a modest market share in the US. Motorola still does very well in its domestic market. Nokia does not need the Motorola brand, but it could use a successful Android handset.

Palm. The smart phone company had a modest success with the launch of its Pre. The follow-on product, the Pixi, is not doing as well. The Pre is facing renewed competition from the Motorola Droid and new high-end handsets from Nokia and Samsung. It competes with the two smart phone juggernauts the Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) iPhone and RIM (NASDAQ:RIMM) Blackberry. In an effort to push sales, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) dropped the price on the Pre to $79.99. Palm needs a deal with both AT&T Wireless (NYSE:T) and Verizon to supplement the one it has with Sprint (NYSE:S). It is not clear that those partnerships will be formed. Pre sales have fallen off, if a number of Wall St. analysts are correct. Many analysts have sharply dropped their stock price targets to $10 based on concerns that Palm will significantly miss its earnings targets. The firm’s stock has decreased from over $18 earlier this year to $11. Nokia has forecast that global handset sales will only rise 10% next year, which will make it nearly impossible for the market to support the number of manufacturers in the business today. Both LG and Samsung, the No.2 and No.3 handset companies, have weak smart phone lines. Each is jealous of its brand. With a market cap of $1.7 billion, Palm is a cheap way to move further into the high-end handset business.
Borders. Borders Group (NYSE:BGP) lost the online and brick-and-mortar bookstore war years ago to Barnes & Noble (NYSE:BKS) and Amazon.com (NYSE:BGP). The company’s stock is down to $1.20 from a 52-week high of $4.48 and its market value is less than $80 million. For the quarter ending in October, the company’s loss from continuing operations was $39.0 million,or $0.65 per share, compared to a loss of $39.0 million, or $0.64 per share, a year ago. Revenue was $595.5 million, down $86.6 million, or 12.7%. Border’s large Waldenbooks division has all but disappeared. That part of Border’s operations is down to 361 stores. With its debt net of cash at $375 million, a competitor like Barnes & Noble could buy $2 billion in annual revenue for a fraction of sales and cut general and administrative costs to improve margins. Borders has been dead for over two years, but no one has been able to dispose of the body.
Blockbuster. Blockbuster’s (NYSE:BBI) stock traded for $10 less than it did five years ago. Shares change hands for $.62 now. The video rental company had an awful third quarter. Revenue for this period of 2009 was $910.5 million, down from $1.16 billion for the same quarter a year ago. The 21% revenue decrease was mostly due to a 14% decline in same store sales. The firm’s net loss was $114 million compared to a $19 million loss in the same period in 2008. Blockbuster has only $141 million in cash and cash equivalents. No one has figured out what to do with Blockbuster. The company has 3,662 stores in the US and 1,703 overseas. Blockbuster has lease liabilities on a number of those stores, but ideally the company would be much smaller. It lost its chance to be in the online video rental business to NetFlix (NASDAQ:NFLX) and its chance at IP-based VOD to a number of internet streaming services and cable set-top box based products. The market value of the company is only $125 million. Blockbuster has bought itself some time by refinancing a large part of its debt and it has been aggressively closing stores. One of the things that Blockbuster mentions in its SEC filings is that its debt load and declining revenue could force it to seek a restructuring of its indebtedness or file for protection under the U.S. Bankruptcy Code. A bankruptcy will do almost nothing to improve Blockbuster’s prospects. Blockbuster does have over $1.7 billion in assets, not all of them saleable, but the firm will almost certainly face liquidation in the relatively near future.

–McIntyre

Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) are intertwined closer than peanut butter and jelly. These two former government sponsored entities are now in government conservatorship. Their influence has largely disappeared. In the 1990’s it was believed that the government would never allow them to fold. It seems today that the GSEs are being kept afloat merely because it is cheaper and easier for the government to keep them in limbo than to repossess them and assume their liabilities. The sad thing is that even if the turnaround in housing lasts, it is just not enough to help Fannie and Freddie. Delinquencies keep rising and using traditional balance sheet analysis is nearly impossible. Whether these stay above $1.00 or not, it also seems that the NYSE keeps these listed because of the high amount of shares traded rather than on the merits of the future of these stocks. Alan Greenspan once said they should be nationalized and relaunched as eight entities that are privately owned. KBW went as far as to say the value of the common and preferred shares are worth zero. There will be some remnants left over in the operations, but these are being kept alive for appearance and convenience rather than because of their solid operating metrics.

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (ABK) is one of the former solid bond insurers that held the market together. The reality is that its peers may be in the same boat or close behind it, but Ambac is the one with the largest question mark associated with it today. Insuring municipal bonds become very difficult in 2008 and for much of 2009 and its structured finance guarantees brought up what could be an untenable situation. What is sad is that a month ago came the company’s earnings on items which reinvigorated buyers of penny stocks and speculative stocks. Then came the change of heart. It was questionable whether Ambac could stay above regulatory capital requirements, and that was after the company disclosed that it may be forced to file for bankruptcy protection if it was unable to improve its capital position. It did claim enough regulatory capital, but then the Chief Financial Officer Sean Leonard resigned after the company missed a regulatory filing deadline and that is often enough to spook any investor in a troubled company. Back-dated tax refunds may help the company stay afloat longer, as would a new capital raise if it is even possible. But for Ambac to continue to function under normal operations, it seems as though the capital markets would have to revert back to the boom days rather than the after-shock days.

Eastman Kodak Co. (EK) has been on a downward trajectory since even before the end of the last decade. CEO Antonio Perez has not been able to fix the company since he took over in 2005 and Kodak keeps its heavy project investing and has been in a restructuring state for about as long as memory can go back. How much this has recovered from its lows is probably irrelevant today. And the notion that Perez was re-signed through 2013 is almost baffling. This was one of the greatest American brands of the 20th century. But its entrance to digital printing was very late and too many little dot.com me-too companies were able to jump way in front of the company’s digital efforts. The latest financing deal with KKR was for $700 million, and this seemed more like KKR was getting itself into a position to make a run at the company with a seniority position in the credit structure. Kodak won’t cease to exit. It just may wind up in a private equity portfolio with a much leaner and meaner structure. And that might in fact be a take-under rather than by a traditional buyout. It seems as though Eastman Kodak is in the same or an even worse boat than newspapers, with the key difference being that newspapers still have a business if advertising from auto dealers and housing ever comes back.

Sun Microsystems Inc. (JAVA) may be headed into Oracle (ORCL) and it may not. Its fate as a standalone company is however looking more and more like an inevitable fate. IBM (IBM) was interested in Sun, but dropped out. And now the European Commission somehow is worried about too much control of open source in the hands of Oracle even though much of this stuff is free or has been given away by Sun for next to nothing. Maybe having a money-losing model is what the European regulators want. But if the Sun-Oracle merger is blocked, the Sun has to do something and in a hurry. It will be forced to go out and buy a revenue and earnings stream with the main criteria being earnings. The company’s loss history and awful internals (not excluding employee morale) will make this even more so the case. So even if Sun is not acquired, it has to go make a transformative deal and it needs a good economy for its core operations to run at profitable levels. If Sun exists a year out, it seems that it will be a very different company by force more than by choice.

E*Trade Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: ETFC) is a great company with a great client base. And it was run into the ground from giving risky loans and acting as the end-user banker. Then it got bailed out in a deal with Citadel which gave the firm an extra layer of trade executions and gave Citadel control over the company’s operations. The dominance of Citadel is not as much as it was in even just a few months ago, but the company is soon to be without its replacement CEO. Things have got better at E*TRADE on operations, and the company’s solid advertising campaign allowed the firm to keep growing at a time in 2008 when suddenly the company appeared to be at-risk. The at-risk issue is one that might not go away for some time because of its loan exposure that it is stuck with and because write downs kept coming. Now, it seems that the wagons may be circling around E*TRADE despite the notion that many dismiss TD AMERITRADE (AMTD) as a suitor. E*TRADE still has a difficult ride if it has to just whether the storm and it may not have the resources needed to ride it out. That will come up for more debate if write downs and charges keep continuing. But for a larger buyer, particularly the non-bank companies that claim to be bank holding companies, then its 2.7 million brokerage accounts and total accounts of more than 4.5 million will be much more valuable to a suitor than to see what is left of the company if the finances turn back south.